Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 3.921435 4.359615 4.828427 5.367691 5.971339 6.626765 7.393049
2026-02-08 3.137646 3.728597 4.406565 5.243494 6.251158 7.428113 8.911202
2026-02-15 2.646227 3.317242 4.131541 5.196066 6.556407 8.243722 10.506451
2026-02-22 2.361413 3.095956 4.030496 5.313004 7.037245 9.289066 12.475629
2026-03-01 2.091961 2.849311 3.852505 5.287782 7.303734 10.056823 14.139807
2026-03-08 1.833686 2.581490 3.607347 5.129410 7.350918 10.506547 15.385110
2026-03-15 1.655861 2.402086 3.458876 5.079743 7.530141 11.139292 16.937580
2026-03-22 1.554339 2.319084 3.434967 5.200891 7.960969 12.168623 19.181092
2026-03-29 1.467223 2.246935 3.416703 5.322761 8.396181 13.235543 21.585026
2026-04-05 1.367240 2.144493 3.340718 5.343077 8.666227 14.058282 23.666543
2026-04-12 1.260789 2.021602 3.220448 5.277872 8.785116 14.637364 25.385447
2026-04-19 1.160722 1.899924 3.090711 5.182758 8.840186 15.106569 26.949724
2026-04-26 1.068601 1.785640 2.966589 5.090850 8.900389 15.604399 28.648698
2026-05-03 0.985945 1.680670 2.849602 5.000820 8.955318 16.098197 30.397392
2026-05-10 0.920921 1.600573 2.768243 4.965667 9.104262 16.773716 32.564009
2026-05-17 0.885816 1.569942 2.770290 5.080831 9.540858 18.024288 35.998086
2026-05-24 0.833150 1.503307 2.702088 5.058133 9.710486 18.775940 38.500958
2026-05-31 0.767440 1.407559 2.572989 4.907527 9.614487 18.992240 39.904067
2026-06-07 0.721544 1.345169 2.500789 4.860311 9.718343 19.616006 42.241840
2026-06-14 0.699851 1.327009 2.510672 4.975972 10.163921 20.983924 46.370690
2026-06-21 0.679522 1.309818 2.520782 5.092273 10.620415 22.417042 50.812264
2026-06-28 0.649510 1.271242 2.485715 5.111665 10.870623 23.426376 54.384136
2026-07-05 0.612938 1.216857 2.414910 5.049457 10.936224 24.031792 57.059497